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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

St. Mary's

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:29.0
Current RPI:29
Expected SOS:96
Current Record:26-6
Expected Record:26-6
Current Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:11-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:11-3
Expected OOC Record:11-3
Expected OOC RPI:44
Expected OOC SOS:112


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-681.25%29.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Utah St. (108.0)WACA58-67W100%0.0
11-18Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyH85-66W100%0.0
11-22Drexel (206.0)CAAN76-64W100%0.0
11-23Pacific (97.0)BWN66-76L0%0.0
11-25Georgia Tech (149.0)ACCN65-56L0%0.0
12-1Cal Poly (164.0)BWH86-68W100%0.0
12-5Drake (143.0)MVCA73-88W100%0.0
12-11Jackson St. (309.0)SWACH120-67W100%0.0
12-19Pacific (97.0)BWH74-46W100%0.0
12-23Northern Iowa (83.0)MVCA82-75L0%0.0
12-27Rhode Island (201.0)A10H82-59W100%0.0
12-30Yale (198.0)IvyH78-62W100%0.0
12-31Harvard (93.0)IvyH70-69W100%0.0
1-5Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCH74-61W100%0.0
1-10Gonzaga (6.0)WCCA83-78L0%0.0
1-12San Francisco (167.0)WCCH78-72W100%0.0
1-16Brigham Young (69.0)WCCA69-70W100%0.0
1-19Portland (231.0)WCCA38-60W100%0.0
1-24San Diego (165.0)WCCH81-48W100%0.0
1-26Pepperdine (212.0)WCCH84-72W100%0.0
1-30San Francisco (167.0)WCCA63-67W100%0.0
2-2Portland (231.0)WCCH77-42W100%0.0
2-7Santa Clara (101.0)WCCA63-84W100%0.0
2-9San Diego (165.0)WCCA64-74W100%0.0
2-14Gonzaga (6.0)WCCH60-77L0%0.0
2-16Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCA50-61W100%0.0
2-21Brigham Young (69.0)WCCH64-57W100%0.0
2-23Creighton (25.0)MVCH74-66W100%0.0
2-27Pepperdine (212.0)WCCA48-87W100%0.0
3-2Santa Clara (101.0)WCCH80-67W100%0.0
3-9San Diego (165.0)WCCN69-66W100%0.0
3-11Gonzaga (6.0)WCCN65-51L0%0.0